Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 3.817011 4.553391 5.373974 6.353309 7.487270 8.755846 10.279217
2025-08-31 2.750795 3.691391 4.848634 6.365268 8.287182 10.627043 13.675018
2025-09-07 2.070839 3.069505 4.403852 6.291218 8.861338 12.204064 16.838658
2025-09-14 1.550327 2.513505 3.898510 5.992581 9.025750 13.196847 19.287741
2025-09-21 1.251643 2.196410 3.644900 5.964019 9.503138 14.601452 22.371081
2025-09-28 1.027816 1.941178 3.426488 5.931137 9.935825 15.946271 25.453951
2025-10-05 0.930024 1.870379 3.477811 6.308531 11.012372 18.312875 30.215635
2025-10-12 0.818317 1.750688 3.423958 6.496498 11.793437 20.279315 34.512794
2025-10-19 0.737728 1.671549 3.424230 6.767609 12.725902 22.545934 39.437496
2025-10-26 0.636109 1.530018 3.287175 6.772102 13.194622 24.085378 43.295172
2025-11-02 0.525195 1.345591 3.038288 6.533594 13.201115 24.839910 45.897518
2025-11-09 0.434711 1.185777 2.811006 6.301301 13.184003 25.535903 48.429367
2025-11-16 0.376354 1.089411 2.702977 6.297002 13.604412 27.055006 52.537526
2025-11-23 0.328114 1.007043 2.612033 6.315459 14.069632 28.691343 56.974135
2025-11-30 0.281065 0.916434 2.487203 6.243831 14.345075 29.994058 60.895072
2025-12-07 0.228576 0.797249 2.274301 5.947725 14.126839 30.341104 63.072425
2025-12-14 0.198388 0.733945 2.185746 5.919508 14.461954 31.771138 67.365964
2025-12-21 0.172331 0.676120 2.100731 5.886889 14.780982 33.187613 71.719109
2025-12-28 0.166149 0.680507 2.180321 6.261815 16.032684 36.560549 80.078679
2026-01-04 0.153043 0.658402 2.184175 6.448557 16.875819 39.153652 87.049196
2026-01-11 0.143933 0.647954 2.219019 6.717903 17.931492 42.254426 95.209745
2026-01-18 0.127414 0.605876 2.155355 6.722368 18.366599 44.076937 100.885405
2026-01-25 0.106497 0.540225 2.008992 6.485412 18.200205 44.598480 103.916906